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Friday, January 19, 2007

Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & ResearchIowa Likes Giuliani, Edwards in 2008 CaucusJanuary 20, 2007
Angus Reid Global Monitor) - GOP supporters in Iowa have placed Rudy Giuliani as their main United States presidential hopeful, according to a poll by Zogby International. 19 per cent of likely Republican caucus voters in the Hawkeye State would support the former New York City.
Arizona senator John McCain is a close second with 17 per cent, followed by former House of Representatives speaker Newt Gingrich with 13 per cent, U.S. state secretary Condoleezza Rice, and former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney with five per cent.
Support is lower for Colorado congressman Tom Tancredo, Nebraska senator Chuck Hagel, former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee, Kansas senator Sam Brownback, former Wisconsin governor Tommy Thompson, and former New York governor George Pataki.
In the sample of Democratic Party supporters, former North Carolina senator John Edwards is first with 27 per cent, followed by Illinois senator Barack Obama with 16 per cent, and New York senator Hillary Rodham Clinton and former Iowa governor Tom Vilsack with 16 per cent each.
Support is lower for Maryland senator Joe Biden, Massachusetts senator John Kerry, Ohio congressman Dennis Kucinich, and New Mexico governor Bill Richardson.
Since 1976, the Iowa caucus has kicked off the process of finding presidential nominees for the two major political parties in the United States. The caucus differs from a presidential primary because the casting of ballots in favour of a particular candidate is preceded by a "gathering of neighbours" where specific platform issues are discussed.
The Republican Party will hold an unofficial straw poll of candidates in Iowa in August 2007, before the actual caucus in 2008.
In 2004, Kerry won the Democratic Iowa caucus with 38 per cent, followed by Edwards with 32 per cent, former Vermont governor Howard Dean with 18 per cent, Missouri congressman Dick Gephardt with 11 per cent, and Kucinich with one per cent. Incumbent president George W. Bush won the Republican caucus unopposed.
Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The next U.S. presidential election is scheduled for November 2008.
Polling Data
Voting intention - 2008 Iowa Republican caucus
Rudy Giuliani 19% John McCain 17% Newt Gingrich 13% Condoleezza Rice 9% Mitt Romney 5% Tom Tancredo 2% Chuck Hagel 2% Mike Huckabee 1% Sam Brownback 1% Tommy Thompson 1% George Pataki 1% Undecided 22%
Voting intention - 2008 Iowa Democratic caucus
John Edwards 27% Barack Obama 17% Tom Vilsack 16% Hillary Rodham Clinton 16% Joe Biden 3% John Kerry 3% Dennis Kucinich 1% Bill Richardson 1% Undecided 13%
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