Ohio likes Hillary, Rudy
Ohio likes Hillary, RudyPoll shows Clinton ahead overall, but not in SW OhioBY HOWARD WILKINSON HWILKINSON@ENQUIRER.COMOn Election Day 2008, Hillary Clinton might find herself liking Ohio as much as President Bush did in the past two presidential elections.
That election is a long time off - 21 months and four days, to be exact - but the first presidential preference poll of Ohio voters shows that Clinton would be the choice over any of the leading Republican presidential candidates in Ohio, the state that played a key role in making Bush president not once, but twice.
The Quinnipiac Poll, which surveyed 1,305 Ohio voters between Jan. 23 and Jan. 28, put the former first lady and senator from New York ahead of former New York Mayor Rudolph Giuliani (46 percent to 43 percent), Arizona Sen. John McCain (46 percent to 43 percent) and former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney (52 percent to 31 percent). The poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 2.7 percentage points, so Clinton is not decisively in the lead.
"Those who say Sen. Hillary Clinton can't win the White House because she can't win a key swing state like Ohio might rethink their assumption,'' said Peter Brown, assistant director of the poll at Quinnipiac University, a college in Hamden, Conn.
Hamilton County Republican Chairman George Vincent said he was surprised that Clinton was not even farther ahead this early in the game.
"With the strong showing the Democrats had in Ohio in November and her enormous name recognition, I would have guessed she'd be way out front,'' Vincent said.
Though she holds a strong early lead within her own party, Clinton also faces the strongest bloc of voters among the early contenders - 38 percent - who dislike her, perhaps explaining why she did not beat the poll's margin of error in any of the head-to-head matchups tested.
The poll comes at a very early stage, but an active one - Clinton, Barack Obama and John Edwards have launched aggressive campaigns in recent weeks, as have Romney and McCain, with Giuliani stumping in New Hampshire last weekend.
In the poll, Clinton and Giuliani were the clear choices of voters from their own parties to be the presidential nominee over a large field of declared and potential candidates.
By the time Ohio has its presidential primary election March 4, 2008, at least 20 other states will have had presidential primaries or caucuses; the issue of which candidates will represent the Democratic and Republican parties in the fall campaign might well already be decided.
The Associated Press contributed
The Quinnipiac Poll broke out head-to-head presidential contests by geographic areas of the state. In Southwest Ohio, the Republican contenders did better than they did statewide. While the statewide margin of error in the poll is 2.7 percent, the margin for geographic regions would be greater, because of the smaller sample sizes.
The head-to-head matchups in Southwest Ohio:
Giuliani 47%, Clinton 42%.
John McCain 46%, Clinton 41%.
Clinton 46%, Mitt Romney 33%.
McCain 41%, Barack Obama 38%
John Edwards 44%, McCain 41%
http://news.enquirer.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20070131/NEWS01/701310338
That election is a long time off - 21 months and four days, to be exact - but the first presidential preference poll of Ohio voters shows that Clinton would be the choice over any of the leading Republican presidential candidates in Ohio, the state that played a key role in making Bush president not once, but twice.
The Quinnipiac Poll, which surveyed 1,305 Ohio voters between Jan. 23 and Jan. 28, put the former first lady and senator from New York ahead of former New York Mayor Rudolph Giuliani (46 percent to 43 percent), Arizona Sen. John McCain (46 percent to 43 percent) and former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney (52 percent to 31 percent). The poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 2.7 percentage points, so Clinton is not decisively in the lead.
"Those who say Sen. Hillary Clinton can't win the White House because she can't win a key swing state like Ohio might rethink their assumption,'' said Peter Brown, assistant director of the poll at Quinnipiac University, a college in Hamden, Conn.
Hamilton County Republican Chairman George Vincent said he was surprised that Clinton was not even farther ahead this early in the game.
"With the strong showing the Democrats had in Ohio in November and her enormous name recognition, I would have guessed she'd be way out front,'' Vincent said.
Though she holds a strong early lead within her own party, Clinton also faces the strongest bloc of voters among the early contenders - 38 percent - who dislike her, perhaps explaining why she did not beat the poll's margin of error in any of the head-to-head matchups tested.
The poll comes at a very early stage, but an active one - Clinton, Barack Obama and John Edwards have launched aggressive campaigns in recent weeks, as have Romney and McCain, with Giuliani stumping in New Hampshire last weekend.
In the poll, Clinton and Giuliani were the clear choices of voters from their own parties to be the presidential nominee over a large field of declared and potential candidates.
By the time Ohio has its presidential primary election March 4, 2008, at least 20 other states will have had presidential primaries or caucuses; the issue of which candidates will represent the Democratic and Republican parties in the fall campaign might well already be decided.
The Associated Press contributed
The Quinnipiac Poll broke out head-to-head presidential contests by geographic areas of the state. In Southwest Ohio, the Republican contenders did better than they did statewide. While the statewide margin of error in the poll is 2.7 percent, the margin for geographic regions would be greater, because of the smaller sample sizes.
The head-to-head matchups in Southwest Ohio:
Giuliani 47%, Clinton 42%.
John McCain 46%, Clinton 41%.
Clinton 46%, Mitt Romney 33%.
McCain 41%, Barack Obama 38%
John Edwards 44%, McCain 41%
http://news.enquirer.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20070131/NEWS01/701310338
posted by presgore19 at 5:22 AM
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