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Thursday, January 04, 2007

Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

Most Americans Expect Hillary Presidential BidJanuary 3, 2007

Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Many adults in the United States predict that a former first lady will launch a campaign for the country’s highest office, according to a poll by Gallup released by USA Today. 88 per cent of respondents think it is likely that Democratic New York senator Hillary Rodham Clinton will announce her intention to run for president this year.
In addition, 78 per cent of respondents expect the U.S. Congress to pass legislation to increase the minimum wage, 68 per cent think Democratic Illinois senator Barack Obama will also become a presidential candidate, 64 per cent predict a new record high for the average price of a gallon of gasoline, 62 per cent expect an increase in federal income taxes, and 57 per cent forecast a major hurricane.
Confidence is lower for other issues, such as a drop in the national unemployment rate, a great reduction of the number of U.S. troops in Iraq, a major terrorist attack taking place in the U.S., the passage of meaningful Social Security reform, or a reduction in national crime rates. Only 13 per cent of respondents believe the Supreme Court will overturn the Roe v. Wade decision on abortion.
George W. Bush—a Republican—earned a second four-year term in the November 2004 presidential election. American voters renewed the House of Representatives and one-third of the Senate on Nov. 7. The Democratic Party will take control of the lower house for the first time since 1994, with at least 232 lawmakers. A victory for the Democratic candidates for the Senate in Montana and Virginia also gave the party a majority in the upper house.
Polling Data
Now, we’d like to get your predictions for next year. Please say whether you think each of the following will or will not happen in 2007.("Will happen" listed only)
Hillary Rodham Clinton will announce her intention to run for president 88% Congress will pass legislation to increase the minimum wage 78% Barack Obama will announce his intention to run for president 68% The average price of a gallon of gasoline will hit a new record high 64% Congress will increase federal income taxes 62% A major hurricane will strike the United States 57% The unemployment rate in the U.S. will go down 37% The U.S. will greatly reduce the number of troops it has in Iraq 37% There will be a major terrorist attack against the United States 25% Congress will pass meaningful Social Security reform 23% U.S. crime rates will fall 21% The Supreme Court will overturn the Roe v. Wade decision on abortion 13%
Source: Gallup / USA TodayMethodology: Interviews with 1,013 American adults, conducted from Dec. 18 to Dec. 20, 2006. Margin of error is 3 per cent.

http://www.angus-reid.com/polls/index.cfm?fuseaction=viewItem&itemID=14287
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