Hillary Clinton Leads Pack

Hillary Clinton Leads PackOf '08 Hopefuls, Poll IndicatesTHE WALL STREET JOURNAL ONLINEFebruary 14, 2007
Sen. Hillary Clinton (D., N.Y.) is leading the pack of presidential hopefuls as the campaign for the 2008 election begins, a new poll indicates.
The Harris Interactive poll, which was conducted online Feb. 2-8, among 3,423 adults, shows that 20% of U.S. adults would most likely vote for Ms. Clinton if they had to choose one candidate from a list of those who may run. Ten percent of those surveyed said they would vote for Sen. Barack Obama (D., Ill.) and 8% said they would choose former New York City mayor Rudolph Giuliani.
WHO'S IN FOR 2008
Take a look at who is in the running for the 2008 presidential election, who's out and who's somewhere in the middle.The poll indicates that for 45% of respondents, their first choice for president would be a Democratic candidate, while 31% would choose a Republican candidate.
When asked to pick from a list of leaders they would consider for president, 45% said they would consider voting for Hillary Clinton, while 37% said they would consider Mr. Obama, 32% said they would consider Colin Powell and 29% said they would consider Mr. Giuliani.
Forty-one percent of Republicans polled indicated they would consider a Democratic leader for president, while 35% of Democrats said they would consider a Republican candidate.
Here are full results of the poll:
"Although the U.S. presidential election is not until November 2008, there are a number of people who may run for president. If you were to vote and had to select from the following candidates, for which of the following people would you consider voting?"[Those choosing a Democratic candidate]Base: All adults
PARTY ID TOTAL Republican Democrat Independent Hillary Clinton 45% 10% 74% 40% Barack Obama 37 15 53 35 John Edwards 28 10 44 27 Al Gore 26 5 44 23 John Kerry 12 2 23 9 Joe Lieberman 12 14 12 10 Wesley Clark 8 3 12 8 Howard Dean 8 2 13 8 Bill Richardson 8 3 12 6 Joe Biden 7 2 12 6 Russ Feingold 5 1 9 4 Dennis Kucinich 4 * 8 4 Mark Warner 4 2 6 4 Christopher Dodd 4 1 7 3 Evan Bayh 3 2 6 2 Tom Vilsack 3 * 4 2 Mike Gravel 1 - 2 1
* less than 0.5%Note: Multiple response question
* * *"Although the U.S. presidential election is not until November 2008, there are a number of people who may run for president. If you were to vote and had to select from the following candidates, for which of the following people would you consider voting?"[Those choosing a Republican candidate]Base: All adults
PARTY ID TOTAL Republican Democrat Independent Colin Powell 32% 51% 18% 33% Rudy Giuliani 29 58 12 27 John McCain 26 46 13 27 Condoleezza Rice 19 42 5 16 Newt Gingrich 11 27 1 7 Elizabeth Dole 10 22 3 10 Mitt Romney 7 18 1 6 Michael Bloomberg 5 9 3 6 George Pataki 5 11 1 4 Bill Frist 4 10 1 4 Tommy Thompson 4 8 1 3 Mike Huckabee 3 7 1 3 Chuck Hagel 3 4 3 3 Tom Tancredo 3 6 * 3 Sam Brownback 2 6 * 2 Duncan Hunter 2 4 * 1 Frank Keating 1 4 * 1
* less than 0.5%Note: Multiple Response Question
* * *"If you could vote for one candidate, who would you most likely vote for?"Base: All adults
PARTY ID TOTAL Republican Democrat Independent Hillary Clinton 20% 4% 36% 16% Barack Obama 10 3 18 8 Rudy Giuliani 8 21 2 6 Colin Powell 6 12 2 6 John McCain 6 15 1 5 John Edwards 5 1 9 4 Al Gore 4 1 7 4 Newt Gingrich 3 8 1 1 Condoleezza Rice 3 6 * 2 Mitt Romney 1 3 - 1 Mike Huckabee 1 2 * * John Kerry 1 * 2 1 Bill Richardson 1 * 1 1 Joe Biden 1 * 1 1 Joe Lieberman 1 * * 1 Other** 12 N/A N/A N/A Not at all sure 15 13 14 18
* less than 0.5%**Note: Elizabeth Dole, Tom Tancredo, Tommy Thompson, Sam Brownback, Michael Bloomberg, George Pataki, Chuck Hagel, Bill Frist, Duncan Hunter, Wesley Clark, Dennis Kucinich, Mark Warner, Russ Feingold, Evan Bayh, Howard Dean, Chris Dodd, Mike Gravel, Tom Vilsak and Frank Keating were all listed and were chosen by less than 0.5%, were all listed and were chosen by less than 0.5%
* * *SUMMARY: THOSE WHO WOULD CONSIDER AND CHOOSE ANY OF THE LISTED LEADERSBase: All adults
PARTY ID ALL ADULTS Republican Democrat Independent Would consider one of the listed Democratic leaders 71% 41% 95% 69% Would consider one of the Republican leaders 58 91 35 59 First Choice would be one of the listed Democratic leaders 45 9 76 38 First Choice would be one of the listed Republican leaders 31 73 7 25
Methodology:Harris Interactive conducted this online survey in the U.S., Feb. 2-8, 2007, among a nationwide cross section of 3,423 adults. Figures for age, gender, race/ethnicity, education, income and region were weighted where necessary to align with population proportions. Propensity score weighting was also used to adjust for respondents' propensity to be online. In theory, with probability samples of this size, one can say with 95% certainty that the overall results have a sampling error of +/- 3 percentage points of what they would be if the entire U.S. adult population had been polled with complete accuracy. This online sample is not a probability sample.
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